No Stop, Hedged, Forex Trading Grid Trading Course

April 2nd, 2008 expert

Expert4x have launched a hedged grid trading course. We hope you find the information supplied useful. We are looking forward to any positive or constructive feedback you may have which will improve the understanding and presentation of the course.  Please send any feedback to info@expert4x.com

CONTENT

Module 1 : Introduction
Module 2: Basic Concepts
Module 3: The Hedged Grid trading rule
Module 4: How you make money
Module 5: Grid Trading success factors: simultaneous transactions
Module 6: Grid trading success factors: Volatility of currency
Module 7: Grid Trading Success factors: Interest Charges
Module 8: Automating the transactions
Module 9: How to Manage trending markets
Module 10: Grid Trading Strategies
Module 11: Capital Required
Module 12: Real live trading examples
Module 13: Conclusion
Module 14: Question and Answers

The course can be accessed at GRID COURSE

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FOREX TRADING DOMINANT ANGLES: The latest Forex Trading Phenomenon

March 3rd, 2008 expert

Trading Currency Dominant angles is rocketing through the forex trading community as the latest high probability forex trading technique since Fibonacci. In fact some key dominant angles are sometime viewed as Fibonacci angles or Gann square lines. This refined technique has previously been used by only a handful of Banks but is now becoming known to the individual Forex Trader

Currency traders have always realized that in the Forex trading market currencies have specific bear channels (angles) that currency prices follow and certain bull channels (angles) that they follow. Using this trading strategy one can quickly bring order into what seems a random moving market. It also dispels the Chaos theory.

Below are a few currency trading charts that show this concept in action. It also challenges the trading concept that most support and resistance levels are horizontal. The forex trading charts clearly show that there is a very strong support and resistance relationship using dominant angles than the traditional horizontal support and resistance areas determined by Fibonacci ratios and pivot points.

gbpdaily5.gif

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These dominant angles are great for determining bounce and breakout points at the start of a new currency price trend. It is used very well with the candle spike and long candle trading approach.

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Retest of support / resistance (kissing the the breakout point goodbye)

January 18th, 2008 expert

Online Forex Trading concepts: Double Top reversal price patterns, Momentum divergences, Moving average crossovers, Trendline violations, retesting of support / resistance, trading signals, trading targets.

Although not a spectacular gain, the EURGBP provided a great example a technical analysis principles working together to provide a good technical trade.

The EURGBP was trading in an upward sloping channel. A double top formation (reversal price pattern) was formed. At the same time sell divergences were made on the MACD momentum indicator which gave a forewarning of a possible sell transaction. Further more the MACD crossed over the 50 line a went into the sell zone. The 4 and 6 moving averages based on the price highs gave a crossover sell signal. The final sell signal came when the price violated the lower channel line / trendline. Normally this would trigger the sell transaction. However we missed it.

In general it is not a good idea to chase a missed entry. When there is a trendline violation the price often returns to the trendline for a 2nd time before it resumes the trend. We made use of this principle to place a sell order behind the price near the violated trendline. In this case the price did retest the trendline (Support become resistance) triggering the sell entry and then heading south as all the signals indicated. We exited before the last low which represents a support level.

This raises the point that traders need to establish which technical analysis indicators are SIGNALS and which ones are TRIGGERS. Signals warn about a possible transaction but the TRIGGER is the activity that creates the entry. In this case the double top, the moving average crossovers, the momentum divergences, the MACD moving into the sell zone were all SIGNALS. The trendline violation would normally have been the TRIGGER for the transaction but we missed it so the retesting of the violated trendline became our TRIGGER.

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www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Protected: 475% return in 1 month: Main learning points

December 31st, 2007 expert

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Protected: 475% in 1 month: Long Candle breakout support and resistance trade

December 30th, 2007 expert

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Protected: 500% Return in 1 Month trading the online Forex market !!!

December 30th, 2007 expert

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Protected: 475% return in 1 month: Position sizing transactions

December 29th, 2007 expert

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Triangle Breakout (28/6/07) CAD +100pips

December 29th, 2007 expert

ONLINE FOREX TRADING CONCEPTS: Price Formations,  Triangles,  Exit methods, volatiliy, Impact of spreads

cad28june100pips2.gif

The market had another below average volatility day yesterday. The “Looney” however created some movement which gave us a trade to talk about.

Very often a trade is entered into and we need to set a target for the trade. One of the guidelines one can use is the height of the formation (what ever the formation is) which preceded the price movement. Yesterday the CAD was trading in a triangle and a breakout was imminent.   If you are not sure which way it is going to break create both a sell and buy entry order and let the market decide. This is what we did and the price broke through the bottom support trendline of the triangle activating our sell entry order. Our stop was at the latest high in the middle of the triangle. Now where to put the target.

As can be seen we measured the height in the triangle at its highest point and then copied that below the triangle breakout point. This gives the expectation of the breakout and a guide to where the target should be. The trade worked out almost 100% perfectly in this respect and we banked 100pips.

Please remember to add your spread to any buy transactions. The exit in this case was a buy and therefore we could not place the target at the exact expectation level as the price would have to move past that point to activate the buy. Remember you are looking at the SELL price on most charts

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Trendline violation trade (27/6/07) GBPJPY +125Pips

December 28th, 2007 expert

ONLINE FOREX TRADING TOPICS: Trendline violations, leading indicators, lagging indicators, relative volatility, Exit methods, following stop

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The JPY was again one of the most volatile currencies yesterday. We traded the GBPJPY as the JPY’s volatility is sometimes increased in this GBPJPY cross. Yesterdays range for the JPY was 112 pips, the EURJPY 111 pips and the GBPJPY 266 pips (Enough said).

Today’s topic is leading indictors. Most indicators are lagging indicators as they tell you what has happen in the past (eg moving averages). There are many indicators that give an indication of what is going to happen in the future. These are leading indicators.

One of the most powerful leading indicators is a straight support or resistance line. This line need not be horizontal. All that it has to do in join the tops of bottoms of turning points in the price movement and extend into the future. This extension represents possible support or resistance in to the future – therefore turning it into a leading indicator. It is also referred to as a trendline.  In fact 90% of our trades use a trendline violation (Crossover) or bounce at the entry trigger.

Yesterday the GBPJPY was trending downwards quite strongly. We drew a resistance trendline over the tops of turning points on the candles to establish our resistance trendline. As the price started turning back slowly it came closer and closer to the trendline. On the strength of the buy signal on the momentum indicator (Also leading in this case) we anticipated a violation of the upper resistance line and placed an entry order just above this line and a stop at the last low. The price broke through the trendline (resistance line) and started trending upwards quite nicely. We had no target in mind for this trade so followed the price movement with a following stop that was moved to the last low every time the candle closed. We were stopped out when the price retraced giving back over 60 pips to the market. In hind sight closing the deal at +150 would not be a bad days trading.

The momentum indicator again showed good measurement of the 2 wave nature of the Forex market as discussed earlier this week.

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Momentum Wave signal trade (26/6/07) JPY +38 pips

December 27th, 2007 expert

ONLINE TRADING CONCEPTS:   Momentum signals,   Trading markets,   Waves

jpy25june38pips1.gif

Yesterday was a particularly lacklustre day with the JPY showing with only signs of life.

Momentum indicators can give reasonable signals in a sideways market. There are however a few principles to bear in mind when putting on a trade based on momentum signals. Here are a few:
1. NEVER trade momentum signals in a trending market (When the price is making new highs or new lows), NEVER.
2. Although not commonly known momentum tends to measure trading waves and we have found that there tends to be 2 major down waves and the 2 major up waves and so on (Sorry about that Mr Elliott). The waves must move through the momentum Buy/Sell line to be valid. 2 waves in the either the sell or the buy zone don’t count.
3. Trendline violations after the 2 wave are reasonably good trading signals.

Yesterday a momentum trading opportunity presented itself on the JPY (Also on the EURJPY and GBPJPY). The price was between a recent high and a recent low (confirmation of a sideways market), there was a trendline violation on the momentum indicator after 2 fair sized waves.

This was further supported by some other signals which we will discuss in future daily trade reviews. We put on a sell on confirmation of the signal (You have to wait for the candle to close), a stop at the last high and our initial target was the last major low at 122.80. As the deal progressed we exited on the next momentum buy signal (a trendline violation after 2 waves with the price still being between a recent high and low).

Gain 38pips $30,  Risk 12pips $ 10 Return on risk +300% (Time Taken 7 hours)

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Moving average consolidation trade (25/6/07) EURJPY +66 pips

December 26th, 2007 expert

Onlone Forex Trading Concepts: Multiple moving averages, Consolidation market, Moving average crossover exits

eurjpy25june66pips.gif

Often in the Asian Forex market does not have the volumes to dramatically move the forex prices. During these quite trading sessions the price tends to consolidate. A group of moving averages based on different time spans gives a good visual confirmation of this (See the chart). What is essentially happening is that short term and long term traders are  agreeing on the current price levels and that is way the moving averages consolidate. This does however also mean that the slightest bit of news or a big buyer or seller entering the forex market could disturb this balance and often a strong breakout occurs.

This is what happened with the EURJPY yesterday and the moving averages started to consolidate on the 15 min chart. The price was trading in an upward sloping channel but made a failed swing (The price did not go to the opposite side of the channel) indicating a break downwards. An entry order sell was placed just below the lower channel support and a stop at the last high (20 Pips). As the eastern Europe volumes started moving into the market the break was given momentum and the price slowly broke downwards during the European session.

The question then was when to exit? Moving average crossovers are great for exits (but not always good for entries as you will experience many whipsaws). The exit was manually done on the close of the bar which confirmed the moving average cross overs of the fastest moving averages. The disadvantage of this is that you need to watch the deal to manually exit.

The moving averages for the chart are 5, 8, 31, 21, 34, 44 and  55.

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Head and Shoulder reversal (26/7/07) - 400pips!!

December 26th, 2007 expert

Online Forex Trading concepts used:  Price patterns, Head and shoulders reversal formation, using expectations for exits, relative volatility of currencies.

The Head and shoulder formation is not always pretty and horizontal as can be seen from the trade below. We noticed that the GBPJPY again started forming a Head and Shoulder reversal formation and was battling to break through the breakout neckline. There where 3 blue candels next to 4 red channels where the price tried to break through. We placed a sell order below the the neckline and a target at 400 pips lower which was the expectation established by the approximate height of the channel in which the Head and shoulders formation formed. The price broke out and reached the target very quickly!! (only 2 x 4hour candles). The GBPJPY is the most volatile currency and these big moves are not uncommon.

26julygbpjpy2.gif
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Head and shoulders reversals:- GBPJPY 180 pips

December 25th, 2007 expert

Online Forex Trading concepts used:  Price patterns, Head and shoulders reversal formation, using expectations for exits, momentum divergences, relative volatility of currencies.

This trade was taken from directly our subscription service this week (180 pips in one transaction). We noticed that the GBPJPY had started forming a Head and Shoulder reversal formation and was battling to break through the breakout neckline. There where no less than 5 spikes where the price tried to break through. We recommended a sell just below the neckline and a target at 180pips lower which was the expectation established by the approximate height of the channel in which the Head and shoulders formation formed. The price broke out and reached the target very quickly. The GBPJPY is the most volatile currency and these big moves are not uncommon.

Although momentum indicators tend to give unreliable signals when the currency is trending there was a particularly strong sell divergence supporting the breakout.

25julygbpjpy2.gif

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Protected: 475% return in 1 month: EURGBP 13 day transaction 22 +25pips

December 24th, 2007 expert

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Using Forex Candle spikes to spot revesals

December 24th, 2007 expert

Online Forex Trading Topic: Candle Spikes, Reversal formations, trend indicators.

When in doubt about where strong support or resistance is it is often a good idea to look for candle spikes. These spikes normally show areas where the price slipped into but where very quickly sent back from where it came. This shows strong support or resistance. The chart below shows how they could have acted as good trading support signals. Remember that long blue candle next to a red candle (or the other way round) is often also a disgusted spike because if you add them together they become a spike.

A stronger reversal formation is candle tweezers where 2 spikes occur directly next to each other (not shown in the chart).

candlespikes1.gif

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The Forex investment GRID system

December 23rd, 2007 expert

What are the most common problems YOU as an online Forex Trader face??? (Any  trader for that matter)

#  YOU get the direction wrong

#  The market whipsaws and takes out YOUR stop and then reaches your target.

#  YOU get your stop wrong. Too small when they should be big and too big when they should be small.

#  YOU cash in at the wrong time only to see the market run another 200 pips in the direction you where in.

Because of the ongoing market dynamics these problems occur with mechanical and manual trading systems

Imagine a trading system where you:-

* YOU can cash in a positive deal no matter which direction the market moves.
* YOU don’t need stops because deals are hedged by other transactions / options.
* The system is so mechanical that it can be traded without charts.

To good to be true?

Not so. Using the INVESTMENT GRID system we simply setup a series of hedges (Self financed transactions) which effectively allow you to cash in on EVERY move of the market (up or down). No need for stops.

Background to the Investment GRID System.

Many financial organisations use hedge and forex option principles to setup low risk trading processes. The magic system sets up its own network of hedges which allow you to cash in on EVERY move of the market.

This INVESTMENT GRID system has been marketed for thousands of $’s with a money back guarantee if any purchaser can prove that the system did not work using any currency over the last 15 years. No refunds have ever been made. Over the years we have made some changes to refine the system. We are now offering the INVESTMENT GRID system to be traded on a subscription basis.

What makes this system so unique:-

We believe that the average trader is so focused on trading one transaction at a time that they loose sight of what they are try to achieve (Make lots of money from trading). They can’t see the wood for the trees.

The INVESTMENT GRID System is based on the philosophy that says:  Why not invest in hedges placed above (say 1000 pips) and below (say 1000 pips) the market which allow you to cash in on every buy and sell move in the market. As the market tend to trade sideways and retrace, much more than it trends, with careful currency selection your hedges way never be hit for years and years and in the meantime you are cashing in on every move of the market. The money generated can exceed the cost of the hedge very quickly a thereby eliminate the risk very quickly.

The INVESTMENT GRID system is therefore not a true trading system but more related to an Investment on which continuous returns are being generated (ROI). It has been developed by financial and actuarial people rather than traders and is therefore a different approach to maximising income from the natural movement of the market. See the examples below: Sometimes the investment can last 1 hour and sometimes the investment takes days or weeks to mature profitably.

Conventional trading

We recently mentored a competent trader who had generated 700 pips during June making over $ 6 000 in the process. Not bad for a month of skilful trading. He did 160 trades with an average stop of 40 pips. During this period the trader had invested an amazing $ 60 000 in having stop losses (160 transactions x 40pips x $9.50per pip). Some were hit and other not. Using a fraction of $ 60 000 the trader could rather have invested in a hedging system which would have allowed a much freer way of trading and would have eliminated many of the stop out encountered. The INVESTMENT GRID system can easily be adapted for further optimisation by competent traders.

Why not add up (calculate) all the negative (stopped out) transactions you have had in the last month as well as the risk you took on the positive transactions and you will be amazed at how much you risked (In $ and in pips) for the return that you made. If you do this you will start seeing the benefits of using hedging to finance stops rather than being stopped out.

The INVESTMENT GRID system investments using hedges.

Very Simple examples of the concept:

The market goes up by 100 pips and then down by 100 pips. Cashed in $200 (you benefit from all moves and no concerns about stops being hit.) less the cost of the hedge $ 100 = Profit of $100. No more risk. Start a new investment.

The market goes up by 200 pips and then down by 100 pips. Cashed in $300 (you benefit from all moves and no concerns about stops being hit) less the cost of the hedges $200 = Profit of $ 100. No more risk. Start a new investment.

You may not need any of your own capital after a number of transactions.

What are the key success factors impacting your trading returns when using the Magic system.

? You need to use currencies that have a low spreads.
? You need to use currencies that have a low over night interest charge as some currencies may not move over say 100 pips every day.
? The size of your “cash in move” should be 100 pips or more depending on the volatility of the market.
? The market must move – doesn’t matter in which direction.
How do I start trading the INVESTMENT GRID system:

The system is easy to trade as all the entry orders are preset to cover a 1000 pip movement in the market. The system only requires you to replace cashed in transactions on the GRID as soon as possible so that you can cash them in again in the future.

The system is published regularly on our website and a new investment group is started every Monday. Every Monday a small change is made to the investment criteria. You are free to move from one group to the next.

For the 1st month we strongly suggest that you demo trade the system. Mainly because the psychologically this is not a trading system but an investment process and it takes a while for traders to get comfortable with the new concept. They for instance keep on looking at the charts and trying to manage the process.

You need either 2 trading mini accounts to facilitate buy transactions and sell transactions in the same currency at the same time, or alternatively a broker mini account that allows the above. The hedges will be created in these accounts.

To trade live you will need $ 5 000 available to invest. Depending on the market conditions when you start, you may only end up risking as little as $1 000 to setup the hedges. The balance is of the capital may not be needed at all!  $ 5000 in capital can hedge a move of 3000 pips so you have plenty.

What returns has the system generated.

The returns of this system are proportionate to the size of the cash in (50pips, 100pips and 150pips and 200 pips), the currencies used, the interest rates charges by brokers on overnight deals, the market phases, time started etc. Each user of the system applies these variables according to the size hedges they can afford. Adding more than 1 hedge results in exponential increase in returns rather than just doubling returns.

This is the 1st time that the investment GRID is being offered on a subscription service. We will be using a set of variable best suited for the subscription service and wherefore there is no track record. We would rather be conservative and not give an indication of the returns enjoyed.

We would strongly suggest that you demo trade your 1st month subscription to access the profitability of version of the system that will be traded for the subscription service.

The Grid system is traded as a subscription trading service. You can enroll for this service by subscribing for $24.95 a month on the following link - http://www.forextradersupportservices.com/subscribe.html
Alternatively I see that information regarding a similar hedged trading methodology is available at www.fxcm.com/hedging.jsp 

This is not a completely mechanical system and choosing the appropriate currency to trade, the grid size and what to do in a trending market takes trading experience and that is why it is presented as a subscription service.

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Trending and sideways trading markets

December 21st, 2007 expert

Online Forex Trading concepts: Trending markets, Trading Markets, momentum indicators, moving averages, trendline violations, economic announcements, price formations, candle formations.

One of the most important trading skills a trader can develop is to be able to tell whether the currency in a trending market or a trading market. In general momentum indicators are highly unreliable in a trending market and trending indicators like moving average based techniques perform very badly in sideways trading markets. It has been estimated that markets trade sideways between 80% to 90% of the time and trade only 20% to 10% of the time.

A trending market is generally when the market is making higher highs and higher lows relative to the time span being traded. (A down trend makes lower highs and lower lows). Other indication of a trending market is when trendlines and / or moving averages point in a definite upwards or downwards direction. In general one should always trade in the direction of the trend when the market is trending until reversal signals are encountered. A trend must be assumed to continue until the weight of the evidence confirms a new trend relative to the time span being traded.

A non trending market is where new highs or new lows are not being made relative to the time span being traded and the price trades between a recent high and recent low. The trendlines and moving averages tend to be horizontal. One can trade in any direction in a sideways trading market.

Events that typically result in trend changes are Economic announcements or meetings, Political or important news or events, Market openings, Historic support and resistance areas and the ongoing battle between the bulls and the bears

Some Indicators that signal a trend change are A trendline violation, A moving average crossover, Momentum indicators signaling changes in momentum, reversal price formations, channel lines violations, bounces off a support or resistance areas, multiple moving average crossovers and candle formations.

Trend changing signals provide excellent signals to ENTER transactions as well as excellent signals to EXIT transactions, either as a stop loss or as a profit.

Most mechanical systems are programmed to be successful in one type of market and very seldom in both.

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Volatile economic announcement trades

December 19th, 2007 expert

Economic announcements can produce some high volitile price breakouts (and Whipsaws). These are generally high risk times that many traders avoid and often close out their deals prior to the announcement. The Payroll trade on the 1st Friday of every month is a particular high volitile announcement.  It takes considerable trading competency and experience to trade high volitile economic announcement trades.

The following is a way trading these announcements:-

* Establish the exact time of the important announcement.
Confirmation of the importance of the announcement will be a narrow rangebound price movement (30 pips) with a bear or bull trap(false break) before the announcement.
* 2 minutes before the announcement input entry orders to straddle the current price (buy +15 to 20 pips / sell –10 to 15 pips).
* Wait for the break and cancel the unactivated leg of the straddle (or use it as a stop).
* Alternatively buy and sell market  orders could be activated 2 minutes before the time and stops moved within 15 to 20 pips from the price just before the announcement.

Many brokers systems can not cope with the fast movement of the price so make sure that your broker is comfortable with these tipe of trades.

accouncement1.JPG

More notes on straddle trades
* They are subject to whipsaws so research prior announcement results and the conditions in the market thoroughly before planning an announcement straddle or hedge.
* Announcements are generally regarded as risk events and careful consideration should be given to the trade.
* The Payroll announcement on the 1st Friday of every month has given the most volatile and dependable results.

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Using long term charts to review the trading environment

December 17th, 2007 expert

Online Forex Trading Topics: Long term charts, analysing the trading envirinment, new highs and lows, trendlines violations.

Most of the currencies have either broken through major trendline resistance / support or started making new highs / lows. This is a period when the bulls and bears have their biggest fights. The monthly and weekly charts below shows the status of all currencies. The analysis of the relative strength of currencies available on the blog shows how weak the US$ and JPY is compared to the EUR and GBP. We will therefore be favouring buying the EUR / GBP as they are strong and selling the USD / JPY as they a weak in the next few weeks. We will also be increasing the size of our stops and targets.

Please click on the charts below to enlarge them.

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eurjpymonthly3.gif

 

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jpymonthly3.gif

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www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Protected: 475% return in 1 month: AUD transaction 21 +73pips

December 16th, 2007 expert

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Momentum divergences

December 15th, 2007 expert

Online Forex Trading concepts: Momentum divergences, Sell divergences, buy divergences, trendlines.

Momentum divergences refers to situations that develop in where the trends (as determined by trendlines joining pivot points  (Turning points) on the price charts and on the momentum charts) on the price charts differ from those on the momentum indicators.

These are very strong signals but are not triggers to trade (refer to triggers and signals on this site).

These signals should not be used in trending markets.

Dr Alexander Elder in his book “trading for a living refer to these signals as the strongest trading signals in trading.

diverg1.JPG
www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Straddle Trade example

December 14th, 2007 expert

Online Forex Trading concepts: Straddle trading, triangle, expectations, Trendlines.

The market sometimes shows signs of a possible high energy breakout, but it is not always clear which way the price will break.

Therefore instead of trying to 2nd guess the market direction one can place a buy and a sell entry order on either side of the price (straddle the price).

Whichever way the market moves it will activate one of the orders and you will be in the direction of the break.

When To Straddle Trade
*Before an announcement
*Price formation breakouts
*Periods of uncertainty
*Market openings (public holidays or weekends)
*Break of important support or resistance.

The first step is to identify a potential transaction. Below is an example of a triangle developing which sometimes provides breakout opportunities.

straddle1.JPG
The next step is to determine the potential expectation on the transaction. With triangles this is normally the height of the triangle at the start of its formation.

straddle2.JPG

The next step is to determine  your risk (where your stop should go) so that we can determine whether the risk / return ratio and capital risk acceptable?

straddle3.JPG

Buy:
Expectation   110
Risk               40
Risk / return  2.7 / 1
Sell
Expectation       110
Risk               40
Risk / return  2.7 / 1

The next step is to place sell and buy entry orders (supported by targets and stops) at the breakout points. Now the market will determine the breakout direction.
straddle4.JPG

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Online Forex Trading principles

December 13th, 2007 expert

Some interesting trading perspectives are presented below. Please read them carefully as many online forex traders have found that understanding only a small number of these perspectives has dramatically changed the way they trade. Most of the points presented have cost traders a lots of money to learn the hard way. This is an opportunity of learning from others mistakes.
 

1.     You DON’T need to know the direction the price is going to go to trade the Forex market.

This surprises many new Forex traders but straddle trading techniques will help you to have successful trades even when you are unsure of the direction the price will move.
 

2   The probability of a transaction being successful is dependent on the potential volatility behind the transaction. The amount of PUSH behind the move

Most traders spend 90% of their energy trying to find the direction on a move and only 10% on volatility. What’s the use of getting the direction 100% right when the move only goes for 15 pips.

3.    Trade ahead of the market. Anticipate the transaction before it happens.

High probability trades with appropriate entry points can normally be anticipated well in advance and programmed trades using entry orders (waiting orders) with targets and stops can be used.

4.    Knowing the rhythm and nature of the market allows you to trade appropriately.

Learn how to read the trading conditions of the FOREX market and how to take advantage of natural movement (Waves and channels) of the market. Also know when not to trade.  Most Traders ignore this and try to impose a technical analysis technique on inappropriate market conditions. This is probably the biggest cause of beginner  trader frustrations.

5.    Have a simple trigger that will get you into the market.

Firstly know which are trading signals and what is a trading trigger.

In the end the simpler you can make your trading techniques the better. Having hundreds of indicators makes trading complicated and confusing. Having simple but effective signals makes easy to make trading decisions (Pull the Trigger)
 

6    Use leading indicators to warn you about a potential transaction well in advance. Most indicators are lagging and give late signals.

The Forex market is faster than other markets and you need as much advanced warning about potential moves as what you can get.  Learn about leading indicators that give signals well in advance of the more traditional indicators.

7   Keep Emotions out of the trade as much as possible.

There are many ways of automating all the elements of a trade so that you don’t have to watch the screen all day long and become emotional about the outcome of the transaction (using entry orders etc.)

8    Before you trade live thoroughly back test and demo trade your technique.

Properly test and improve your strategies before going live. 90% of new traders start trading a technique that they have not personally tested. They go on the trust of what they have been told.

Testing a technique ensures that you can apply it under any conditions and that you understand it. It also gives you an opportunity to add improvements.

9    Keep your safety stops out of the traffic.

In appropriate placement of stops is a mjor cause of trading failure. In many cases an unsuccessful technique can become successful by just increasing the stop levels. Spend time finding your personal comfort level in this area. There are a number of techniques to not use stops at all.
 

10    Successful traders find the exit of a successful transaction is the most difficult part of trading.

Exiting transactions optimally takes experience.  many ways are discussed on this glog.

11     Assume that the market will trend in the direction that it is currently going until you see conclusive proof of a possible reversal

The objective of trading is to enter a new trend and stick with it until it is over.

12     Money and risk management is essential to a long term relationship with the Forex Market

Many methods used by successful traders are presented for your consideration. I don’t make recommendations or give advice in this area but knowing the alternatives enable you consider am appropriate one your way of trading

13     Technical Analysis techniques have strengths and weaknesses. Know both. Know then to use Technical Analysis and when not.

Certain indicators only work in trending markets and others in trading markets. Some trades can be done without charts. learn as much as you can about trading.

14    A trading strategy contains the time frame traded, warning signals, trigger signals, ways of managing the transaction, way of exiting the transaction, money management approach and risk management. It is not only about the entry

Find a personal trading strategy that takes your personal circumstance into account.

15  The trading process consists of doing an environmental scan, identifying possible future transactions, entering the transaction, managing the transaction, exiting the transaction, doing a post mortem and reviewing your trading strategy.

Build competency in all these areas.

16     In general the longer term charts (Daily, 4 Hr and 1 Hr) give more reliable signals than the shorter term ones (30min, 15 min, 5 min and 1 min) which are subject to noise.

Be aware of the many scalping (short term) and position trading (longer term) strategies available to trad the Forex market.  Knowing the alternatives will help you develop a personal strategy

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Channel trading (10/7/07) CHF +100pips

December 12th, 2007 expert

ONLINE FOREX TRADING CONCEPTS:  Channel Trading,  trendline violations entries,  Establishing the trend direction,  Exiting using targets,  Automated transactions

Currencies tend to trade in channels quite consistently. Much more than many traders realise. This is also supported by the Dominant Angle theory that the price channels downward and upwards between sets of trendlines that repeat the same angle. This is discussed under another topic.

There are many ways of establishing channels but drawing straight trendlines is the simplest and most efficient. One only need 3 reference points to draw a channel as illustrated on the accompanying chart. Once 2 strong pivot points (turning points 1 and 3) have been established an extended trendline is drawn joining the 2 pivot points. This establishes one of the channel lines. The next channel line is simply drawn by drawing a line parallel to the already established trendline that touches the turning point 2. You then have a channel. The great thing about this is that this technique can be used in trending and sideways trading markets.

Way to trade this is then to find an entry point that will allow you to trade from 3 pivot point to the project 4 pivot points. Once the 4 pivot point is reached you can then trade the 4 to 5 leg and so on until there is a strong breakout from the channel which normally means a trend change or the formation of a new channel. Nice simple and effective way of trading.

11julychf100pips1.gif

As can be seen on the chart a good channel was establish for the CHF which was trading in a stepping down fashion within a channel. We missed hooking the number 3 bounce off the upper trendline (which became a channel line) so we were looking for a reason to sell the CHF. The best we could find was a trendline joining the recent lows. We placed a trendline violation sell order just below this line which was activated.

As we were trading the 3 to 4 point channel move the target became to projected bounce at point 4. We placed an automatic limit order just short of this so that our transaction would be automatically closed when the price reached this level. Fortunately it did and 100 pips were banked on this deal.

Because this was an automated deal it was also an alert on our UK alert service. For more information on the Expert-4x US and UK alert services please go to www.expert-4x.com.

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Protected: 475% return in 1 month: GBP transaction 19 +35pips

December 11th, 2007 expert

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Price Patterns

December 11th, 2007 expert

Below are some price patterns that are commonly used in online Forex Trading 

price-patterns.GIF

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Protected: 475% return in 1 month: GBP transaction 20 +86pips

December 10th, 2007 expert

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With the Trend trendline Bounce (6/7/07) EURJPY+120Pips

December 9th, 2007 expert

ONLINE FOREX TRADING CONCEPTS:  Relative strength of currencies, Non horizontal Support trendlines,  Weekend market close exit, Following stop, Triangle breakout.

6julyeurjpy130.gif

Currently the JPY is one of the weakest currencies depreciating against all other major currencies (except the US$). The GBP and EUR are currently the strongest major currencies appreciating against all other currencies. This information is obtained by comparing the trends of all the major currencies compared with all the other major currencies on a monthly, weekly, daily and 4 hourly basis. A future trade of the day will feature this analysis.

We were therefore looking for any excuse to use the JPY’s weakness and the EUR or GBP’s strength to trade motivate a trade. We noticed that a strong non horizontal upward sloping trendline was giving the EURJYP strong support as it trended upwards on the 1 Hour chart. We therefore followed this trendline with a buy entry order place in a position that would anticipate an upwards bounce off this trendline. This occurred at 166.85 when the price went to retest the support line. The trade soon went positive and the next concern was that the price was trading in a triangle and that the upper triangle resistance line would bounce the price back. The stop was moved to breakeven when the price reached the 167.25 area but it soon broke through and headed north.   Our target was the top of the upper channel but we decided to close the deal at the close of the weekend market as we were +120 pips at that stage, which is what we did. Sometimes a bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush.

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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The Head and Shoulders reversal formation

December 8th, 2007 expert

Online Forex trading concepts: Price Patterns, Head and Shoulders, Channels

The Head and Shoulders formation is one of the most wellknown reversal formations known by Technical Analysts. As is shown in the chart below the Head and shoulder formation consists of a Main Head with 2 shoulders on each side. A neckline can be drawn joining the bouncing points. It is not uncommon for the price to break through the neckline  and then retest it before continuing in the reversal direction.  The head and shoulders can also be viewed as a change of channel formation.

The Head and Shoulders is traded by trading the breakout of the neckline and placing a stop at the top of the breakout shoulder. The target is the height of the head and shoulders.

We trade the Head and Shoulders even when the neckline is non horizontal.

hands4.gif

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Candle Formations

December 7th, 2007 expert

Below are some of the most common candle stick formations used by online Forex Traders.

candles2.GIF

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The public holiday trade (4/7/07) Eur 0 pips

December 5th, 2007 expert

 ONLINE FOREX TRADING CONCEPTS:  Trading Calender,  Environmental analysis, Public Holiday Trade

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Online Forex traders must always be aware of how events in the world can impact the exchange rates of the various currencies. Major events impacting currency movements are events like elections, interest rate changes and economic announcements. There are also events that have a calming impact on the market. These are public holidays in some or all of the trading markets. Essentially the market represents the views of human beings. When these human beings go on holiday there is very little interest in the Forex market. Yesterday was Independence Day in the USA (the 4th of July). The chart above reflects the EURUSD chart with the EUR only showing a range of 23 pips for the day.

On the whole major public holidays are good days for online Forex Traders to get out and also have a holiday. Even if the price moves a bit, so what, the market will still be there tomorrow. It is always important to not try to squeeze movement out of the market that just is not there. We did very well to breakeven yesterday. Sometimes the best trade you can make is not to trade.

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Protected: 475% return in 1 month: EUR transaction 9 +12pips

December 5th, 2007 expert

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Trading Moving Average Envelopes (3/7/07) GBPJPY +110 Pips

December 4th, 2007 expert

ONLINE FOREX TRADING CONCEPTS:-    Sideways trading market,    Moving Average envelopes,    Channel Trading,    Straddle Trade

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Results from channel trading are particularly good in sideways trading market although channel trading can be applied just as profitably in trending markets. The application of channel trading in trending markets will be discussed in another trade of the day. There are many ways of identifying trading channels eg. Using trendlines, moving average channels, etc.

Moving average envelopes are normally found under the indicator options of most trading packages. These indicators are based on envelopes around a moving average. At Expert-4x we like using fast moving averages of between 3 and 5 but traders must experiment to find the moving averages that meet their trading needs. There is no fixed setting for the width of these moving average envelopes. Traders must use their own judgement to try to capture 90% to 95% of the price movement within the envelopes. By definition only exceptional price movements will poke out of the channel occasionally making this a great retracement trading system.

Yesterday this system was used very effectively to make 110 pips on the GBPJPY. See the trading chart. The 4 hour chart and using envelops that capture 95% of the price movement was used. To make sure that we were in a sideways trading market we made sure that there was a high higher than the existing price levels and a low lower than the existing price levels. We place a sell entry order at the level of the upper envelop and a buy entry order at the level of the lower envelop thereby straddling the price. The price went up and activated the sell entry order before returning back into the envelope and heading south were the lower buy order acted as a great target.

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Moving Averages acting as Support & Resistance

December 3rd, 2007 expert

Online Forex Trading concepts: Moving averages creating support and resistance

Moving averages can sometimes act a good support and resistance areas. The 200, 100 and 50 moving averages on the daily charts are of particular importance as these are watched by the bigger Forex market participants. It is always a good idea to have the on your daily charts. When these moving averages converge there is a very good chance of a huge volatility breakout.

Below is a good example of a moving average acting as support and resistance.

moving-averages-s-r.gif

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Trendlines as leading indicators

December 3rd, 2007 ForexKing

Online forex trading concepts: leading indicators, trendlines, bearish and bullish lines, price patterns, non horizontal trendlines

One of the most used leading indicators is also the simplest indicator. So simple that people forget that it is a leading indicator. We are of course talking about the straight line.

The straight line when used as a trendline or used to identify a price patterns tells us where potential support and resistance will occur.

Example of a bearish (downward) trendline
Example of a trendlines identifying a price pattern
Another conception is that these lines need to be horizontal. They don’t. Non horizontal trendline occur way more than horizontal ones are in many cases more reliable.

Example of a horizontal trendline

Example of a non horizontal trendline
So why would we classify a straight line as a leading indicator. Any extension of a trendline becomes a future support or resistance barrier where the bulls and the bears will put up a fight as to whether the price will bounce or break through the support or resistance.

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Protected: A return of 475% in 1 month - Entry and Exit methods used

December 1st, 2007 expert

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Weekend Straddle (29/6/07) AUD +15 pips

December 1st, 2007 expert

ONLINE FOREX TRADING CONCEPTS:-    Weekend straddle,     Volatile breakouts,       Forex Brokers

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The weekend straddle is a novelty trade that has made many people lots of money. In general when you expect the price of a currency to have a volatile breakout but you are unsure of the direction it is not a bad idea to hedge your bets by placing both a buy and sell order above and below the current price. Should the price break upwards the buy order is activated and the sell order can be cancelled and the other way round for break downwards. The technique is successfully used for volatile news announcement breakouts, breakouts out of price patterns (e.g. Symmetrical triangle) or to a lesser degree weekend price movements.  

The major risk involved in straddle trades is a whipsaw where the price does a mock breakout to the wrong side and reverses strongly in the other direction taking both the buy and sell order in the process. Sometimes this is not the end of the world as the proceeds from the last order could exceed the loss on the 1st stop out.    Straddles should be thoroughly demo traded to make sure that you are happy with the concept. 

Such an opportunity developed on Friday where due to anticipated Australian events over the weekend we anticipated some movement on the AUD. These events could be elections, G7 meetings, political events etc. Anything that you can anticipate that may create news impacting the currency.  The weekend straddle requires some sharp dealing station skills because you need to place the buy and sell orders as close as possible to the existing price right in the last minute of your brokers close for the weekend. This is because the weekend movements can sometimes be very small. Depending on the volatility you are expecting you should try to go for small targets so that your target is sure to be hit. 

On Friday we placed a buy and sell order 5 pips from the existing price on either side of the price in the last minute of trading. Each Broker differs in this respect and some will only allow you to place orders within 10 pips of the price.  On Monday morning when the market opened the AUD had jumped (Weekend Gap) more than 25 pips upwards. This activated our buy order and activated the target limit at the same time and 15 pips were made instantly.  Very Important:- You need to know your Brokers policies on GAPS to be able to trade this trade. Some do not honour the transaction values of the trade and others do – you will have to do your homework in this respect.  

Best to treat this as a novelty or fun trade than to try and make a living from it. It does however show the importance of using the straddle technique when you are not sure on the direction of the price movement.

www.Expert-4x.com is a sponsor of this free educational blog and uses many of the concepts high lighted in these postings for its daily alert services.

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Disclaimer:-The information on online Forex trading presented on this webpage should not be regarded as forex or currency trading advice. Currency trading and fx trading is highly speculative and should only be done with risk capital. Foreign Exchange prices rise and fall and past performance from currency trades is no assurance of future performance. This online forex trading webpage is a currency trading information and technical analysis webpage only. Accordingly, we make no warranties or guarantees with respect to the correctness or validity of its content. Forex traders making use of the online currency trading information presented do so at their own risk. The information provided herein does not take into account their forex investing objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. This site is not intended to by used as the only source of currency trading information or forex education. It is important and assumed that traders use sound trading principles when using the online forex trading information on this currency trading site. This includes trading common sense, sound money and risk management and full personal ownership of any trading decisions. Investors should obtain individual financial advice based on their own particular circumstances before making any foreign currency investment decision